The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. 0:00:00 Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Saturday, February 25, 2023. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. File Upload. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. . They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. So, the usual. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. By May 21, 2021 0 . 9 days ago. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, 2,. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. I'm Galen Truk. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. 3 min read. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Accuracy is not guaranteed. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. robert kraft granddaughter. . apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. Happy holidays! They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. This is the second episode. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. NEW TOWN . According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. david senak now. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. This is the final episode. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world.
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